One thing is consistent: voters tend to reward original auteur visions. Sometimes the Screenplay Oscars match up to Best Picture winners, but in recent years there have been more splits. (Ballots are due March 22.) But this year, the question of whether or not you win your Oscar pool could come down to the two most contentious races: Adapted and Original Screenplay. With all the major precursor awards behind us, Oscar watchers have some idea of where Academy voters will go on the big night. The movies vying for Oscars this year are all built on firm foundations.
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